I do not expect the sky to clear much until Wednesday evening. (I can't really pinpoint "who clears out first," because it depends on the location and orientation of the final few shower bands.) By dinnertime, I think the entire state will be drying out. But starting early afternoon, raindrops will start to taper off and move off-shore. Scattered rain will still dampen your spirits Wednesday morning. The big transition day, featuring improving weather! (Eventually.) Temperatures won't budge more than a couple of degrees overnight, holding in the lower 50s. And winds should calm to the "breezy" zone. This will be similar to - if not slightly higher than - Monday afternoon's crest.Īs we move into Tuesday night, the rain shield should once again break apart a bit. 2 to 3 feet of surge will exceed "Moderate" flood stage, and may approach "Major" flood stage along the southern coast (Ocean, Atlantic, Cape May counties). The next high tide cycle will be the second and final "really big" one. And the coastal concerns continue Tuesday. ![]() It feel like Thanksgiving time.Īs 4 to 8 foot waves continue to batter the Jersey Shore beaches, we have already seen some significant erosion. By the way, that is almost 20 degrees below normal for early October. High temperatures will only climb into the lower 50s Tuesday afternoon. It will be wet and windy and cloudy and cool. I don't think the severe weather parameters are high enough to ring alarm bells for gusty winds, hail, and/or tornadoes though. We also tap into slightly more moist and unstable air, raising the possibility of embedded thunderstorms. But there is plenty more wet weather to come, as waves of rain slide through New Jersey all day Tuesday. Overnight, North Jersey got soaked and South Jersey got a break. Raindrops slowly taper off Wednesday afternoon and evening. ![]() The flooding will be particularly bad on barrier islands, which are surrounded by ocean and bay water. And 2 to 3 feet of storm surge will once again produce widespread moderate flooding of tidal waterways at high tide. Wind gusts of 30+ mph are still likely, especially near the coast. We could squeeze out another inch or two of rain between Tuesday and Wednesday, before this storm system finally kicks out to sea. But that changes quite a bit Tuesday, as the axis of steadiest, heaviest rain shifts farther north. However, it is also important to point out that North Jersey has seen considerably less rain - as little as a tenth of an inch in Sussex County (as of early Tuesday morning). And we still have another day and a half of rain to go. That's a lot of water - there are some big puddles out there. Top rainfall totals along New Jersey's southern coast are now passing 7 inches.
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